Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 833
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 833 · BOS → IAH
departs 3:04 PM ET · arrives 6:11 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30 64%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.