Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 8364
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
B6 8364 · SJU → MCO
departs 4:25 PM AT · arrives 7:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
9%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 33 kt forecast at MCO that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.