Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 863
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 863 · FLL → ORD
departs 9:05 PM ET · arrives 11:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 42%
Fri 10/30 37%
Sat 10/31 45%
Sun 11/1 43%
Mon 11/2 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,633 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.