Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

EVA AIR · FLIGHT BR 621 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:26 AM PT, ETA 5:55 AM CST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Today

BR 621 · LAX → TPE

took off 1:26 AM PT · expected to land 5:55 AM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ 1am departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BR 621 · LAX → TPE

Odds over time