Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 3280
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
C5 3280 · IAH → IAH
departs 2:10 PM CT · arrives 3:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
C5's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.