Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4301
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
C5 4301 · LFT → IAH
departs 7:17 AM CT · arrives 8:34 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 18%
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave LFT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LFT is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
7am departures from LFT are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
LFT (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.