Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4330
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
C5 4330 · LCH → IAH
departs 7:25 AM CT · arrives 8:24 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 7%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 15%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave LCH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at LCH that day
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
7am departures from LCH are usually not late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LCH (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.