Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4344
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
C5 4344 · IAH → HRL
departs 2:37 PM CT · arrives 4:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HRL
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
HRL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.