Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4377
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
C5 4377 · CRP → IAH
departs 4:03 PM CT · arrives 5:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at CRP
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CRP (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.10 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.