C5 4908 · IAH → SHV

departs 4:08 PM CT · arrives 5:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at SHV more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SHV?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SHV

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

SHV (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4908 · IAH → SHV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SHV?