C5 4929 · IAH → BRO

departs 2:32 PM CT · arrives 4:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at BRO more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BRO?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into BRO at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

BRO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,714 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4929 · IAH → BRO

Odds over time

How late will it get to BRO?