C5 4957 · IAH → CRP

departs 4:09 PM CT · arrives 5:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CRP

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

CRP (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4957 · IAH → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?