CI 23 · ONT → TPE

departs 12:05 AM PT · arrives 5:17 AM CST

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at TPE more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPE?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12am departures from ONT are often late

↑ ONT is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

CI 23 · ONT → TPE

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPE?