Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1055
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 1055 · RSW → DTW
departs 2:16 PM ET · arrives 5:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at RSW that day
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from RSW are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.