Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1252
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 1252 · SLC → SAN
departs 5:10 PM MT · arrives 6:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.05 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.