Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1297
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 1297 · BOS → AUS
departs 1:25 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 45%
Fri 10/30 47%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 35%
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.