Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1466
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 1466 · SLC → GEG
departs 11:15 PM MT · arrives 11:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/28
Fri 10/30 20%
Sat 10/31 12%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at GEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GEG?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at GEG that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.05 in
GEG (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.