Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1568
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 1568 · BOS → RSW
departs 7:12 AM ET · arrives 10:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 9%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 13%
Mon 11/2 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at RSW that day
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↑
RSW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.