Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2004 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

DL 2004 · BOS → LAX

departs 10:55 AM ET · arrives 2:03 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ 10am departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2004 · BOS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?