Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2277
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2277 · RSW → DTW
departs 7:38 AM ET · arrives 10:39 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 3%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 4%
Fri 10/30 6%
Sat 10/31 5%
Sun 11/1 5%
Mon 11/2 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
3%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
3%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↓
7am departures from RSW are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.08 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.