DL 266 · JFK → CDG

departs 12:09 AM ET · arrives 11:48 AM CET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at CDG more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CDG?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12am departures from JFK are often late

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CDG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 266 · JFK → CDG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CDG?