Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2797
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2797 · SLC → SAT
departs 8:40 PM MT · arrives 12:26 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 26%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SAT at that hour are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 9,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SAT (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.