Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2814 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

DL 2814 · DTW → BDL

departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 4:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Arrivals into BDL at that hour are often late

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2814 · DTW → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?