Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2887
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2887 · BOS → MCO
departs 3:27 PM ET · arrives 6:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 24%
Fri 10/30 48%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±7 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.