Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3145 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

DL 3145 · DTW → BHM

departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 8:39 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BHM at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3145 · DTW → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?