Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8944
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28
DL 8944 · MEM → SLC
departs 11:01 PM CT · arrives 1:20 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.