Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 9971 LANDED 3:47 PM CT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Yesterday

DL 9971 · ATL → MEM

took off 3:45 PM ET · landed 3:47 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 9971 · ATL → MEM

Odds over time