EK 220 · MCO → DXB

departs 9:07 PM ET · arrives 6:57 PM +04

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DXB more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DXB?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day

↑ 9pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DXB

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

DXB (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EK 220 · MCO → DXB

Odds over time

How late will it get to DXB?