Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1016
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 1016 · PHL → SJU
departs 6:25 AM ET · arrives 10:35 AM AT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30 32%
Sat 10/31 29%
Sun 11/1 27%
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.