F9 1127 · OMA → DEN

departs 8:00 PM CT · arrives 8:50 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1127 · OMA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?