Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1166
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 1166 · PHL → SJU
departs 12:38 PM ET · arrives 4:48 PM AT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 49%
Fri 10/30 51%
Sat 10/31 34%
Sun 11/1 44%
Mon 11/2 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.