Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1308
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
F9 1308 · GRR → MCO
departs 4:32 PM ET · arrives 7:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/30 24%
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±10 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR
Weather at each end
GRR (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.