Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 1381 · TPA → CVG
departs 8:55 AM ET · arrives 11:23 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 11%
Sat 10/31 8%
Sun 11/1 14%
Mon 11/2 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at TPA that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CVG (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.