Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1495
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 1495 · FLL → IAH
departs 12:56 PM ET · arrives 2:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30 47%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 39%
Mon 11/2 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
12pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.