Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1500
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 1500 · ONT → DEN
departs 6:00 AM PT · arrives 9:24 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 12%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
ONT is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.