Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1544
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
F9 1544 · CLE → RSW
departs 9:33 AM ET · arrives 12:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30 31%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
↑
RSW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.