Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1745
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
F9 1745 · SJU → MCO
departs 6:39 PM AT · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 25%
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±6 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.