Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1750
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
F9 1750 · CVG → MCO
departs 8:16 PM ET · arrives 10:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 26%
Fri 10/30 19%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.