Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1776 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Today

F9 1776 · DEN → PHL

departs 6:10 PM MT · arrives 12:09 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±6 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1776 · DEN → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?