Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1957
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 1957 · DTW → IAH
departs 1:02 PM ET · arrives 3:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 27%
Fri 10/30 37%
Sat 10/31 27%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.