Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2250
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 2250 · MCO → SJU
departs 12:00 PM ET · arrives 3:03 PM AT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 10/28
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↑
12pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.