Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2288
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 2288 · MCO → ORF
departs 4:45 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 27%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
9%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ORF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
ORF (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.