Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2508
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
F9 2508 · MCO → PHL
departs 9:38 PM ET · arrives 12:28 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/30 35%
Sat 10/31 32%
Sun 11/1 43%
Mon 11/2 41%
Tue 11/3 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.