Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2547
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
F9 2547 · MCO → CVG
departs 9:23 PM ET · arrives 11:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 28%
Fri 10/30 27%
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.