F9 3217 · ATL → IAH

departs 1:20 PM ET · arrives 2:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3217 · ATL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?