Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3453
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 3453 · LGA → ATL
departs 5:03 PM ET · arrives 7:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 56%
Fri 10/30 72%
Sat 10/31 42%
Sun 11/1 64%
Mon 11/2 56%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 50% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.