Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3819
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
F9 3819 · PIT → MCO
departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 10:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±6 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.