Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3980
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
F9 3980 · TPA → SJU
departs 8:49 PM ET · arrives 12:06 AM AT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SJU at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TPA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.