Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4355
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 4355 · IAD → MCO
departs 11:11 AM ET · arrives 1:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 29%
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.