FI 688 · MCO → KEF

departs 6:46 PM ET · arrives 6:06 AM GMT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at KEF more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KEF?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at MCO that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at KEF

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

KEF (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

FI 688 · MCO → KEF

Odds over time

How late will it get to KEF?